Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.318148 3.684843 4.082280 4.546183 5.074227 5.658221 6.355235
2025-05-11 2.803920 3.298188 3.872022 4.591847 5.476768 6.536971 7.915120
2025-05-18 2.472230 3.032655 3.717101 4.623466 5.805550 7.313551 9.413156
2025-05-25 2.166715 2.744331 3.477777 4.490981 5.875837 7.734366 10.472605
2025-06-01 1.959824 2.550698 3.326364 4.437844 6.020814 8.243251 11.689739
2025-06-08 1.800684 2.399938 3.209954 4.409037 6.181118 8.773443 12.988683
2025-06-15 1.725081 2.353005 3.226424 4.561644 6.609275 9.731988 15.063240
2025-06-22 1.610145 2.238931 3.134739 4.541882 6.768954 10.289470 16.561748
2025-06-29 1.502699 2.125892 3.033059 4.493591 6.872872 10.760993 17.970641
2025-07-06 1.362225 1.953339 2.828478 4.265143 6.659983 10.679364 18.378437
2025-07-13 1.298087 1.890581 2.785098 4.287287 6.859894 11.316306 20.191180
2025-07-20 1.255093 1.856602 2.782714 4.373997 7.175096 12.187466 22.581710
2025-07-27 1.211650 1.820357 2.776142 4.456801 7.499072 13.127642 25.301581
2025-08-03 1.163998 1.774138 2.749872 4.503227 7.762135 13.986738 28.009640
2025-08-10 1.117526 1.726469 2.717203 4.534461 7.998467 14.821051 30.814118
2025-08-17 1.046108 1.633113 2.601005 4.405060 7.912766 14.991472 32.121541
2025-08-24 0.994230 1.569190 2.530605 4.353141 7.972111 15.467640 34.240554
2025-08-31 0.950408 1.516252 2.475607 4.324989 8.075184 16.048215 36.727003
2025-09-07 0.937654 1.515693 2.512475 4.474128 8.556983 17.525962 41.840622
2025-09-14 0.900240 1.469883 2.465013 4.454816 8.680736 18.204504 44.943571
2025-09-21 0.861436 1.419472 2.405977 4.407624 8.738893 18.735652 47.744344
2025-09-28 0.800837 1.327196 2.264648 4.184345 8.387583 18.236840 47.427710
2025-10-05 0.777158 1.300342 2.243824 4.205991 8.588705 19.126228 51.508947